There is a good deal of cash to be obtained this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the primary tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier competitions available this week, where the final event will pay $50k into 1st for those who did qualify to perform inside. I will be pursuing those as well since we have not ever had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I really do think we’ve got a enjoyable card this Saturday and that I am ready to go into this 3-week break with a winning night in UFC 227. Listed below are a few plays I like this weekend together with my fade of the week.
Money Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he’s the highest ceiling as well. DJ is the P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I’m plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is practically sure to score at least 100-points in a win, and he’s got a -550 gambling line saying he must find the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in money. You can pile this battle also, but I think DJ is a must.
GPP drama of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great struggle to target this week since it probably will not go to a choice. Holland just fought the Contender Series a few weeks back and did not get a contract. But today he is about the PPV against one of the scariest strikers in the branch. The ITD lineup for Santos is now -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. This tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends ancient and Santos is the guy that should pick up the finish. At $9.2k, he readily pays that cost off in a 1st round win and I think he’s a solid shot at doing just that. I really don’t care for him as much in money game formats however because both men have quite lower floors, so this really is a GPP just play for me personally.
Underdog play of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I think everybody is writing off Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that’s why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside in a decision win. Obviously, we are concerned about him becoming caught in a guillotine if he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I think he can win this fight and 10x his wages with a win. I don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so I really do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or else they may get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, that makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he’s a solid underdog to pick in GPPs this week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even at a cheap $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still need a finish to cover that price label off with her fashion. She’s the worst fashion possible for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she gets a win here she could wind up scoring less than some losers on the card. Taylor will be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so in the event that you want to spend your money on a 115 pound lady with a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you will be very contrarian taking that path. But I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I would still full fade Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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