College football oddsmakers have NC State listed as 4.5-point favorites, even despite offensive problems. Against West Virginia, NC State followed paltry production against Florida State using a egg and produced 27 points.
The 27 points were nearly a season-best for West Virginia although the 13 points which Florida State allowed was its season-best attempt, despite also having played against two group of Five teams.
To attempt to solve their woes, the Wolfpack want to switch things up. Last week, after gaining experience with the offense transfer quarterback Bailey Hockman, a former recruit who transferred from Florida State, will get the start.
Hockman will be supported by an run game with good explosiveness. The Pack rank second in the ACC in rush success rate with Zonovan Knight and Jordan Houston, each of whom typical well over five YPC. They are able to have a huge day against an Orange rush defense which ranks 112th in opposing YPC.
Even though its true that the Packs offensive line is going to have to shuffle positions following its starting right tackle appeared to injury and that Syracuses defensive ends form the power of its own defense, the Orange defensive lineup has underachieved, maybe not playing as itought to on paper. Above all. Finish Alton Robinson simply has sacks from Holy Cross and Liberty.
Passing will be more difficult for Syracuse. First of all, Tommy DeVito represents a regression from last years quarterback, Eric Dungey.
A was created by him from Maryland. However, he led all of two drives that were powerful in what was a blowout loss. Besides being an offensive leader that is inefficient, hes also turnover-prone as he has been five times in five matches.
A problem with DeVito is his lack of mobility. He is not the runner which Dungey was. Consequently, hes powerless behind an offensive line that positions 117th in sack rate despite facing a great deal of competition enabled.
On the opposing side, NC State is coming off an eight-sack performance against Florida State. Anticipate exotic blitzes that can leave Syracuse just as clueless since it was in its own bowl game.
While both teams face injuries in their secondary, I give the advantage that has been among the more effective defenses in the ACC. The Package rank 28th in yards per play allowed.
Beside an enhancing pass rush, the Wolfpack rate 31st in opportunity rate, which measures a run shields effectivity, after limiting the Seminoles into 1.7 YPC.
Syracuse has permitted a total of 104 points. Besides an underachieving defensive line, Syracuses linebackers have often been part in play recognition and their own positioning.
I prefer NC State to succeed at home, where its won 10 of its previous 11 games. It has a defense.
Friday, October 11 in pm ET (ESPN) in Hard Rock Stadium
An often overlooked reality is that production starts in the trenches. A team cannot run the ball if its running back can not get to the point of scrimmage nor will a team pass before he could make a decision, when the quarterback is continually pressured.
This match is going to be a slugfest since both teams possess lack quality offensive line play.
While its ranking in stuff rate suggests that Cavalier running backs receive tackled for a reduction or for no gain virginias o-line rankings 66th at chance rate. In terms of pass protection, it ranks 106th in bag rate.
Miamis defense, which gave up 42 points to Virginia Tech, will get a boost from the decision to involve himself heavily in the defense of Manny Diaz. Diaz has been the teams defensive coordinator before this year and that he knows the way to reestablish a defense that ranked fifth in opposing yards per game last year and still ranks 23rd in the group this season.
Putting pressure and wreak havoc are points of the Hurricanes. They rank in stuff rate and 39th . The Hurricanes thrive at stuffing running backs behind or at the line of scrimmage at getting to the quarterback and they shine.
UVAs defense could do much of the same to Miami. It is correct that Virginia was gashed in its game by Notre Dames dash strike. Nevertheless, the Irish boast a offensive line with future NFL players.
Miamis offensive line is as its mistake-prone and very youthful. Miamis run protection ranks 93rd at chance rate and its pass security rankings 127th in sack rate.
The defense for Virginia is led Jordan Mack and by linebackers Zane Zandier. The latter contains six sacks this year. Virginia needs to be extra aggressive defensively using a secondary that is sound that may not have any issue with Miamis question mark.
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